Heavy Snow Likely, Just Not Here

February 6th, 2013 at 8:49 pm by under Weather

Winter Storm Warning for Thursday Night for the counties highlighted in pink. 6-12″ of snow is expected.

If you’re a snow lover, it looks like your snow dance was off by about 100 miles north of Fort Wayne!  We may have a little snow nose into the first tier of Indiana counties, but nothing too significant.  As Meteorologist Greg Shoup cover in his latest blog post, as Michigan gets the snow, the WANE viewing area gets the rain.

Winter Storm Watch for the counties highlighted in blue. Snow may not be measured in inches, but in feet.

This same system will deliver much more snow for New England where Winter Storm Watches have already been issued.   Instead of measuring snow in inches though, they may be measuring snow in feet.   Yes, several feet of snow are possible across New England as this next system evolves into a Nor’easter hybrid system.   Want to see the raw forecast model data?   Here is the 84 hour snow total from the NAM forecast model:

84 Hour snow forecast of NAM model, courtesy of wxcaster.com

Take a second to click on the picture and look very closely.   Notice that parts of New England are covered in the tan, earth tone contour.  That’s over 18″ of snow.   So, is this model out to lunch or is there consistency compared to other forecast models?   Here is the same forecast period, total snow out to 84 hours, but with the GFS model:

84 Hour snow total map from the GFS model, courtesy wxcaster.com

There may be some differences on the placement of the lower snow amounts and the placement of the heavy snow band, but both models are hinting heavy snow, over 18″ across parts of New England.

Again, I am not making this up.   Here is the exact verbiage from the National Weather Service:

    …A POTENTIAL HISTORIC WINTER STORM AND BLIZZARD IS EXPECTED TO DROP 1 TO 2 FEET OF SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

Now, that’s what I call a snow storm!

So, if you are a snow lover and sitting here in Fort Wayne dreaming of our next real winter storm, keep your eye on next Wednesday.   It’s still a week away and I wouldn’t go to Vegas with those odds, but that is our next chance of significant snow showing up for the Fort.

 

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