Just when you thought winter was over, Old Man Winter reminds us that we can still see heavy snow in March.

We have had our eye on this storm since last Thursday, but if you remember my blog post on Friday, my money was more on the GFS model and not the NAM.

Well, if you look at the trend in the NAM model above with the three pictures I have posted,  you can clearly see how the NAM has trended to bring the heavy snow right into our area for Tuesday.

My thinking last Friday was for this trend to be stronger and the heavy snow band to be way south of the WANE viewing area.   Obviously, I over estimated this trend and it is clear that we are going to break out our shovels and snow blowers for Tuesday.

So, can we take the NAM verbatim?  Are we really going to see up to 10″ of snow in the Fort by Tuesday night?  Yes, that chance is there, but here are my current thoughts on Tuesday:

• Snow is likely, we are running a 100% of snow Tuesday.
• Snow may start near daybreak, but really look for it no later then lunch.
• Snow accumulation will be noticeable by the time to kids catch the bus home from school.
• The afternoon commute will be challenging Tuesday as this is the peak of the snow.
• The snow will be winding down by Nightcast Tuesday.
• Expect a wide swath of 6″ in the WANE viewing area, with someone seeing up to and over 8″ of snow.

Make sure you tune in at 5 and 6 PM to see our updated snow maps.