Seaonal Drought Outlook

September 23rd, 2013 at 3:54 pm by under Weather
Drought outlook from the Climate Prediction Center.

Drought outlook from the Climate Prediction Center.

I hope you enjoyed the rain last Friday and how your lawn greened up just a little bit as the next few months may be dry and the drought may persist or even worsen.   Above is the new seasonal drought outlook from the Climate Predication Center and if you look closely, you can see that parts of the area, the drought is expected to persist.

If you live south of Fort Wayne, where we saw a lot of rain last week, you may be doubting the drought level.   You have to remember that the even though the soil may be wet on the top, the drought level is a summation of the overall amount of precipitation we have had over the last several months.   Also remember that a D0 drought is the very beginning of a drought (abnormally dry) and we are no where near close to where we were last summer.

2 Responses to “Seaonal Drought Outlook”

  1. Kevin H says:

    That map does not show us in a drought at least from what I am reading it. The white area means no drought (unless you used the wrong map) or I am reading it wrong.

    1. Jonathan Conder says:

      That map does not show the level of the drought, just whether the drought will expand, persist, or improve.

      I linked the actual drought level, with the “Drought Monitor.”

      So, what can we take from this map?

      The Climate Prediction Center is saying that the drought will persist with the area highlighted in that rust/brown color. Even though that area does not come into Allen County, as a meteorologist with a good understanding of the area and the long range forecast, I would not be surprised to see the drought worsen in Allen County.

      But, after the rain last week, the drought level may drop this Thursday. After a few weeks with below average rain, I expect a widespread Do (abnormally dry) to cover most the area, with near D1 (moderate) drought levels in 4-6 weeks.