Latest on the Weekend Weather

February 7th, 2014 at 11:24 am by under Weather
Expected snowfall from Futurecast model

Expected snowfall from Futurecast model

Each model run for the last 48 hours I’ve seen a fall in moisture and today seems to be the most significant fall yet. Our ‘in-house’ model initialized off the NAM has about a 1/2 inch through Sunday for Fort Wayne and around an inch for our northern counties. Somethings meteorologists look for is consistency and consensus between different models and I believe we have that today for this weekend system. The GFS is bringing in around .07″. The ECMWF or the European is very similar.

So right now I’m going to say that this moisture starved system will have very little snowfall associated with it probably 1 to 2″ and that’s it.

4 Responses to “Latest on the Weekend Weather”

  1. Don Thompson says:

    No greg make it quit!!!!!

  2. K. Speakman says:

    This winter seems eerily similar to 1981-1982. What are the prospects for another “100 year flood?” If I lived near streams and rivers, I would be getting very nervous (and stocking up on sandbags). Just a thought.

    1. Greg Shoup says:

      Mr. Speakman,
      Great question. The answer is a little complicated because of what’s happened since 1982. In 1982 the Maumee flood began at 17 feet. After that flood the Federal Government funded major engineering projects which included dykes along the river which took the flood stage up to about 23 feet. So even though we may have 2 to 4″ of water trapped in the snow on the ground the likelihood of major flood across the downtown area would not be anywhere near what it would have been in 1982. Hope that answers the question.

  3. John says:

    Yet again another awful forecast.