Greg Shoup

Look out for ‘Sharknadoes’

July 31st, 2014 at 8:41 am by under Weather

So with the blockbuster TV movie hitting a cable box near you I thought we would have a little fun with my blog post today. Recently one of the stars of this blockbuster ‘B’ movie proclaimed that a ‘Sharknado’ could actually happen.

“You know, it actually can happen. I mean, the chances of it happening are very rare, but it can happen actually. Which is crazy. Not that it—the chances of it are, like, you know, it’s like probably ‘pigs could fly.’ Like, I don’t think pigs could fly, but actually sharks could be stuck in tornados. There could be a sharknado.”

While it would be technically possible for a tornado to pick up a shark. It would take a vertical wind speed of 127 mph to pick up a 2200-lb shark points out NOAA oceanographer Kim Martini. He does suggest that you carry a provisional herring just in case this happens.

Martini also points out that like most sensible animals sharks try to avoid big storms.

The other point which Reed made have missed in her high school weather class is that tornado funnels tend to pick up quite a bit of debris. That debris would cut the shark apart as well, not to mention that the shark would not survive because it would essentially be a ‘fish out of water’.  There have been stories dating back to old weather journals of small fish and animals being picked up by tornadoes and dumped on the ground.

So could a shark possibly be flung on an unsuspecting beach goer? Yes it could happen but scientists are quick to point out that it won’t happen twice.

Sharknado depiction from the Storm Prediction Center

Sharknado depiction from the Storm Prediction Center

 

 

 


Very close to record

July 30th, 2014 at 9:06 am by under Weather
Average temperature calculated through July 29th, 2014

Average temperature calculated through July 29th, 2014

We are very close to the record for coldest July on record. Through July 29th our average temperature which is calculated using the median temperature is 69.1ª. This is only two-tenths from the record for the coldest July of all time which is 68.9º. Even if the record is not set we will still remember this July for a long time for its cool temperatures and below average rainfall.

So far we’ve received only 2″ of rainfall officially at Fort Wayne Airport the average for the month is 4.24″. Unless those scattered thunderstorms dump about 2″ over the airport today or tomorrow July will end up as a very dry month.


NOAA Weather Radio

July 29th, 2014 at 8:54 am by under Weather

Weather radio is still off the air in Fort Wayne. Here is the latest from the National Weather Service:

...FORT WAYNE INDIANA NOAA WEATHER RADIO BROADCAST REMAINS OUT OF
SERVICE...

THE FORT WAYNE NOAA WEATHER RADIO BROADCAST...WXJ-58 AT 162.550
MHZ...HAS BEEN OFF THE AIR SINCE SUNDAY EVENING. TECHNICIANS
CONTINUE TO TROUBLESHOOTING THE PROBLEM...HOWEVER THERE IS NO
ESTIMATE AS TO WHEN SERVICE WILL BE RESTORED. SURROUNDING
BROADCASTS INCLUDE ANGOLA /KXI-94 AT 162.425 MHZ/...MARION /WXM-98
AT 162.425 MHZ/...MUNCIE /KJY-93 AT 162.425 MHZ/ AND CRIDERSVILLE
/WXJ-90 AT 162.400 MHZ. WE APOLOGIZE FOR ANY INCONVENIENCE THIS
MAY CAUS

 


Almost a record low

July 29th, 2014 at 8:40 am by under Weather
Last two years have been nearly record setting

Last two years have been nearly record setting

Even though we did not set the record of 47º in 1904 we came very close. This morning we saw the Fort Wayne Airport temperature go down to 48º which makes it the second coolest morning low temperature for July 29th since records of been recorded. The odd fact about this low temperature is that last year’s low of 50 was the second coolest until today. So the last two July 29th’s have been very cool.

This near record cool weather has put us in place to record the second coolest July of all-time for a average temperature of 69.1º through July 30th. The coolest July on record was in 2009 when the average was 68.9º.


Weather radio is off the air

July 28th, 2014 at 12:03 pm by under Weather

If you’re wondering why your weather radio is not working there is a very good reason. The National Weather Service says that Weather Radio is off the air. Here is the latest statement from the NWS:

...FORT WAYNE INDIANA NOAA WEATHER RADIO BROADCAST IS DOWN...

THE FORT WAYNE NOAA WEATHER RADIO BROADCAST...WXJ-58 AT 162.550
MHZ...HAS BEEN OFF THE AIR SINCE SUNDAY EVENING. TECHNICIANS ARE
TROUBLESHOOTING THE PROBLEM...HOWEVER THERE IS NO ESTIMATE AS TO
WHEN SERVICE WILL BE RESTORED. SURROUNDING BROADCASTS INCLUDE
ANGOLA /KXI-94 AT 162.425 MHZ/...MARION /WXM-98 AT 162.425
MHZ/...MUNCIE /KJY-93 AT 162.425 MHZ/ AND CRIDERSVILLE /WXJ-90 AT
162.400 MHZ. WE APOLOGIZE FOR ANY INCONVENIENCE THIS MAY CAUSE.

 


Heat has been on low this July

July 28th, 2014 at 8:36 am by under Weather

If you’re thinking this July has been cool you are correct. In fact, so far the median or average temperature for the month is 69.6º that ranks in our area as the third coolest July on record. This week will not help up that average either.

The coolest July on record wasn’t too long ago in 2009 where the median temperature was 68.7. The other interesting fact about that July was a striking similarity to this  July. There were no 90 degree days. The warmest it got to in 2009 was 87°.  So far, our warmest day has been 89º recorded on July 22nd.  The second coolest July was back in 1947 with a median or average temperature of 69.1º.


Weekend severe threat

July 25th, 2014 at 11:15 am by under Weather

Just to update our post from yesterday. There is still a threat of severe weather across all of Indiana. This area is quite expansive and means that parameters for severe weather are definitely present. The second graphic shows where the prime area for severe weather may be. The Storm Prediction Center has put a 30% chance of severe weather just south of Fort Wayne, this area includes Indianapolis and central Ohio. In looking at model data it seems like this area has even higher parameters for severe weather.

One of the main issues will be a very strong low level jet which does give extra lift and buoyancy to the atmosphere for continuing development of storms. These winds will also increase the area and time that these storms will be able to hold together and regenerate.

Sunday has an area carved out in the SPC outlook for a slight risk across the eastern part of the state which includes Fort Wayne. A powerful weather system for this time of year moves in forcing drier and cooler air into the region. Usually we don’t see systems like this in July with such strong jet stream winds and the huge temperature drops from cool and dry air. That’s why makes could make these storms rather dangerous in a portion of this slight risk area.

 


Weekend weather pattern could be active

July 24th, 2014 at 10:44 am by under Weather
A strong jet stream pattern over the area Saturday

A strong jet stream pattern over the area Saturday

The weekend will boast more humidity, warmer temperatures and a powerful cold front which will bring drier air into the area which will drastically change the forecast next week. By Saturday we see the heat and humidity taking  over with a strong jet stream wind pattern across our area. The strong jet stream pattern creates extra lift in the atmosphere and that lift creates buoyancy which is something strong and severe thunderstorms thrive on.  The strong winds of the jet stream can cause quick storm development in an already unstable environment with heat and humidity building through the afternoon.

Large "Slight Risk" area forecast by the Storm Prediction Center

Large “Slight Risk” area forecast by the Storm Prediction Center

Because of these factors the Storm Prediction Center has put most the Midwest and Great Lakes Region in the “Slight Risk” area for severe thunderstorms. It will be interesting to see how this will develop on Saturday and Saturday night for our area.

 


Rain comes and leaves quickly

July 23rd, 2014 at 8:36 am by under Weather
Doppler estimated rainfall through 8am Wenesday 7/23/14

Doppler estimated rainfall through 8am Wenesday 7/23/14

For the most part a rather meager rainfall for most areas. However, there were some places that did see more rain. The lighter green on this map indicates those areas of heavier rainfall. Over an inch just east of Fort Wayne in Paulding county, Ohio. Decatur and Berne seeing healthy rainfall totals of .75″. This month will most likely end with a rainfall deficit unless there is significant rain over the weekend and right now our forecast solutions are not really showing higher rainfall totals.

Greg_4


90 degree days have been rare this year

July 22nd, 2014 at 11:19 am by under Weather

This summer has been unusual as it has really not produced that many days of oppressive heat. So far July has been the most unusual month with 16 days that have seen below average temperatures.  Four days have seen above average temperatures and only one day has seen what is considered the 30-year average temperature.

The 90 degree days have been almost absent with only two so far and both were in the month of June. If the temperatures reach highs above 90 today it would be first for July and would of course be the warmest temperature of the month.

As I blogged yesterday we most likely will be below normal for the rest of the month after today.