Weekend snow update

February 27th, 2015 at 8:58 pm by under Weather

We’re still on track for seeing accumulating snow this weekend. Snow will begin late Saturday night (towards midnight) and continue throughout the day on Sunday. Some breaks will be possible on Sunday, with the heaviest snow likely during the afternoon and evening. Temperatures will hover right around freezing, making this a wet snow. Winds will be light so blowing/drifting is not a concern for this event. We had previously been thinking some mix would be possible, but now it’s looking more like things should stay as all snow here. Here’s a breakdown of what to expect:

Plan for messy travel on Sunday!

Plan for messy travel on Sunday!

By the time the storm is over, most folks can expect to see 3″-6″ of snow, with lesser amounts as you get close to the Michigan state border.

Places south of Bryan and Kendallville will see the highest snow totals during this storm.

Places south of Bryan and Kendallville will see the highest snow totals during this storm.


More on Sunday snow

February 27th, 2015 at 9:00 am by under Weather
Snowfall estimates from Futurecast for snowfall Sunday

Snowfall estimates from Futurecast for snowfall Sunday

So far snowfall estimates have fluctuated with different mathematical outputs. The new GFS has about 5.6″ of snowfall. The NAM output coming in at about 3.6″. And interestingly enough the ECMWF output has about 5.6″. That would be just under the Winter Storm Warning criteria but it will be quite close. The other thing that will be close is the rain snow line. Right now Futurecast has the rain/snow line south of Portland which would still put most of our area in 3 to 5 inch range of snowfall for Sunday.

We will keep you up to date with the latest on changes that come along with this forecast but I’m impressed we are finally seeing some consistency with these mathematical outputs.


Sunday snow chances

February 26th, 2015 at 9:02 pm by under Weather

We’ll see quiet and cold weather the next couple of days, but accumulating snow will arrive before the weekend is over. Forecast models have been flipping back and forth with how to handle this system. Timing has been pretty consistent, with precipitation falling throughout the day on Sunday and wrapping up into early Monday morning. It’s the track that has been a big question mark. Models had been showing a warmer solution earlier this week, allowing temperatures to climb into perhaps the upper 30s. The latest trends have been colder, however, likely keeping most of the precip as snow. With temps hovering near freezing, a bit of mix is not out of the question. This would also likely be a wet snow.

There is still a lot of uncertainty for Sunday, so keep checking back for updates!

There is still a lot of uncertainty for Sunday, so keep checking back for updates!

Regardless of the track this storm takes, Sunday is shaping up to be a messy travel day – so plan ahead! Keep checking back in with the Live Doppler 15 Fury Storm Team for the latest updates!


Cold air moving in redux

February 26th, 2015 at 12:07 pm by under Weather
12 pm temperatures 2/26/2015

12 pm temperatures 2/26/2015

Take a look at the northwest part of this map. We are seeing very cold air rebuilding and it will move in later today. Minneapolis had a temperature of 5 at noon. That’s what we have to look forward to.

Snowfall through Thursday morning

Snowfall through Thursday morning

Here are snowfall totals from Thursday morning. Most places in NE Indiana received well under 1″


Snow tonight and Thursday, more COLD air coming

February 25th, 2015 at 9:00 pm by under Weather

Another wave of snow is moving in tonight and it will continue for the morning commute.  By midday Thursday, the snow becomes more scattered and ends by mid-afternoon.

Snow amounts won’t be all that much – accumulations only around 1″ are expected across northeast Indiana and northwest Ohio.  Plus, in the good news dept., winds will be light from the northeast.  Blowing and drifting snow should not be a huge issue.  However, many roads may still be snow covered and slick, especially in rural areas.

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Snow forecast Wednesday night through Thursday afternoon (2/25-2/26)


2 days, 2 records

February 24th, 2015 at 10:30 pm by under Weather

As Greg reported earlier today, our Tuesday morning low temp of -6 set another record low.  Our first one of the week came one day earlier, on Monday, when our low also reached -6.

There’s another surge of colder air getting ready to flow in between now and Friday, but our record lows look to remain safe.  Our next chance at below zero temps comes Friday morning, when the Live Doppler 15 Fury Storm Team predicts a temp of -3.  However, the record low for the date is -18°!

Another below zero morning occurs Friday, but we won't be anywhere near the record low for the date.

Another below zero morning occurs Friday, but we won’t be anywhere near the record low for the date.

By Thursday and Friday, the next blast of cold will be in place and we will be quite close to record low high temps for the day.  Thursday’s lowest recorded high temp is 11° (1913) with Friday’s record being 13° (1925).  As of this posting, we’re predicting a high of 14° both days.

 

 


Records and more

February 24th, 2015 at 8:07 am by under Weather
Yesterdays record cold has now moved this month up to 4th place overall for the coldest average temperatures. (Data provided by NWS IWX)

Yesterdays record cold has now moved this month up to 4th place overall for the coldest average temperatures. (Data provided by NWS IWX)

The cold continues to set records and the cold from the last two days has already moved the average temperature for the month down to 16.5°. That moves the area in the 4th place overall standing for coldest average temperatures for the month of February.

Record low set at 5 am February 24th at -6

Record low set at 5 am February 24th at -6

Another record low was set this morning. -6° breaks a one-hundred fifteen year old record!

 


Next system to bring gusty winds and snow to the area

February 23rd, 2015 at 9:43 pm by under Weather

After another quite cold night with air temps down to -3°, and wind chills around -15° by Tuesday morning, our next weather system moves through during the day, keeping things quite wintry around here.

Snow amounts won’t be all that high, but gusty winds (sustained from the SW 15-25 mph and gusts up to 35 mph) will result in areas of blowing and drifting snow and tricky travel on the roads, with periods of whiteout conditions possible – especially on east/west roads, like the Indiana Toll Road/I-80/90.

 


One of the coldest on record

February 23rd, 2015 at 11:37 am by under Weather
Data provided by NWS Northern Indiana

Data provided by NWS Northern Indiana

If you have been thinking that this one the coldest Februaries you can remember, your memory is serving you well. As of the 22nd, this is the 5th coldest February on record, if you calculate the average monthly temperature. If this trend continues, and we expect it will through the end of the month, then this may end up moving up to the third spot as the coldest February since 1979.


Winter storm in the south

February 22nd, 2015 at 5:42 pm by under Weather

Here’s something you don’t see very often: A winter storm warning and winter weather advisory for much of Texas. Louisiana, and Arkansas. Dallas is included in the winter storm warning.

7 DayAs this big time arctic plunge is being felt across much of the United States, it’s bringing an unusual set of circumstances for the deep south. Sleet, snow and freezing rain will have a big impact on these areas. Below is a look of the radar and temperatures as of Sunday evening. Ice accumulation and minor snow accumulation will likely cause problems for our friends to our south. Winter is sparing nobody this year!

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