The spring season also marks the return of fire weather season. Our snow has melted away and, in between our periods of scattered rain, the grass (and other plants) that has not yet “reawakened” from the winter can get quite dry and will easily burn after coming in contact with just a slight spark.
1. PLEASE make sure to check on local burning conditions and regulations. Always monitor local weather conditions.
2. Burning should not be done with winds greater than 10 mph, as debris from the fire can carry and ignite unplanned fires.
3. Remain in attendance of the fire at ALL times. Have a shovel and source of water ready in the event of a spread in the fire.
4. If you cannot get a fire under control within a few minutes, CALL 911 IMMEDIATELY.
Rain will fall through the early part of the morning.
The rain briefly changes to snow by 9am
We should see an end to all of this by 11 am according to Futurecast
Rainfall up to .50″ is likely through late morning
Heavy rainfall will be prevalent through mid-morning with a brief period of snowfall. This has been a real concern over the last several hours. Earlier it looked like we could get a couple of inches of quick snowfall with this change-over. But now it is looking like we really don’t see temperatures drop below freezing and it will be difficult for any kind of snowfall accumulation through late this morning.
By 12pm this snowfall will end and we will see cloudy and a rather cold day for this time of year when we average temperatures in the lower 50s we will just see lower 40s.
Temperatures will fall further on Friday with a high around 30 which is near 20 degrees below average.
Just like last night, we have a weather system advancing toward us from the southwest that brings us some precipitation overnight, continuing through the morning. One important difference this time around is that colder air that’s filtering in from the northwest will work to change that rain over to snow during the morning commute.
Rain arrives late tonight
Changes to snow by AM commute
Daybreak temps slightly above freezing
Rain/snow out by midday
All the rain and snow will exit by midday on Thursday and the afternoon will be dry, but still mostly cloudy. Snow accumulations are possible, but much will depend on the timing of the rain/snow transition (does it happen earlier or later in the AM) and we’ll have to wait and see how much melting will occur on the pavement, with temps slightly above freezing as the day begins.
Look for Thursday morning’s snow totals to fall within this range:
Thursday’s snow forecast
Cold air flows in behind this system and that’s going to keep high temps well below average through Friday and into the the weekend.
Showers return especially early Thursday morning according to Futurecast
Friday evening Futurecast still has light snow showers with very cold air
Much colder air returns Friday with even some flurries and high temperatures in the 30s.
Much colder air returns over the next 24 to 48 hours as it begins to stream in tonight. Temperatures will fall into the upper 30s by early Thursday and Futurecast has some light rain across the area. That’s when we begin to see the cold air moving in. Highs will only be in the 40s by afternoon Thursday.
Friday will be even colder as we will see another surge of colder air moving in with temperatures falling into the 20s late Thursday night which will leave Friday with some flurries and temperatures around 30. This cold air will still be around on Saturday as temperatures will only recover into the upper 30s.
Rain is moving in and some overnight thunderstorms aren’t out of the question, either. However, no severe storms are expected.
As this rain arrives, some pockets of freezing rain are possible, especially north of Fort Wayne, where air temps are mostly likely to be found hovering near freezing. Temps will continue to rise into morning, though, and we’ll be well above freezing at daybreak (44° at 8 AM)
Futurecast Midnight – Late Tue/Early Wed
After moving in late this evening, periods of rain, heavy at times, continue overnight before tapering down in intensity by the morning commute. By midday Wednesday, the rain will have moved east and be out of our area. Total rainfall accumulation is expected between 0.25″-0.50″ in most spots. Some isolated higher amounts are possible.
Heavy rain overnight
Lighter rain by daybreak
Gone by lunch
Morning wind gusts, up to 30 mph from the SW, will die down during the afternoon. However, these southwesterly winds will still be working to pump warmer air our way. The winds, teamed with the afternoon sunshine, will help our high temps reach to near 60°.
It looks like we may see below normal temperatures through the end of the month. The new 6 to 10 day outlook from the Weather Prediction Center has a 50% chance of below average temperatures. This forecast is valid from March 29 through April 2.
The reasons behind today’s snowy weather system and its impacts on the area.
The snow was expected today but, if you’ve been following our forecasts, you know that these high snow totals were not originally part of the day’s weather picture.
Here’s what happened: Since we first spotted this system early last week, there were questions as to whether it would really reach us, before fizzling out. When the computer forecast models did show some precip making it in to our area, it didn’t seem that it would still hold enough moisture to churn out a significant snowfall or even affect the entire NewsChannel 15 coverage area. Plus, based on temperatures through the atmosphere, there were also questions as to whether the precip would be all snow or a rain/snow mix.
Well, as it turned out, this incoming snow system developed in a different way than how the models saw it over the course of the past week. This system tracked directly through the area, impacting our entire WANE coverage area from LaGrange and Angola to the north, down south to Marion, Portland and Hartford City. It never weakened, or died away, and produced all snow along the way. And…there was certainly enough moisture to produce a sold snowfall.
Highest snow reports by county (Some counties missing due to lack of spotter reports)
In fact, it was a record-breaking Fort Wayne snowfall for March 23.
We did see heavy snowfall to the north and west of Indiana earlier but as the snow moves across our area this afternoon we will see about 1″ in grassy areas. This is because we have warm pavement and most of the roads are still treated. But be careful especially later this afternoon as bridges and side roads may be slick.
The first weekend of spring began with temps in the low 50s and plenty of afternoon sun. But, that was yesterday. We’ll see some sun this morning but clouds will be on the increase. The biggest difference between yesterday and today – temperatures. We’ll struggle to make it into the lower 40s today. The average high for this time of year should be in the lower 50s. Our temps will be below average for the next few days. Look for a cool start to the week with the chance for rain and (dare I say it) snow showers.
Temperatures will be below average for most of the week, except for Wednesday.
A gusty southwest breeze will pull much warmer air into the area by Wednesday, with many places expected to climb into the lower 60s! That warm-up will be short-lived, though, with a cold front crossing the area Wednesday night and sending temperatures tumbling back into the 40s – and even upper 30s – by the end of the work week. Keep those winter coats handy!
When you log on to the weather blog, you’re typically looking for some weather-related news. In my mind, the biggest weather news today at WANE-TV is that our very own Meteorologist Jesse Hawila will be heading to KCTV in Kansas City, MO. His last newscast will be tonight at 11p.
I’ve had the privilege of working with Jesse since I joined the Live Doppler 15 Fury Storm Team about a year and a half ago. Over his nearly 2 years of working at WANE, he has made a big impact! Jesse has proven himself to be a knowledgeable forecaster, a great reporter, and, I’m proud to say, a fantastic friend. He helped me find my way when I was just starting at WANE and was an awesome person to work with. Whether we were tracking severe storms/snowstorms, working on seasonal weather specials, or just grabbing lunch, we always shared several laughs. I’ve learned a lot from him and can’t wait to see what his future holds – I know he’s excited to chase some storms in the Plains!
You can check out a video montage of memories I put together here.
Best wishes in Kansas City, Jesse! You’ll be missed here in The Fort!