Streak is over

September 18th, 2014 at 6:55 pm by under Weather

After 7 straight days of not hitting 70° in Fort Wayne (despite our average highs being in the mid-upper 70s), we finally broke the 70° mark today and our counter has been reset to “0″.  Today’s high temp was 71°.

More sunshine and calm weather tomorrow and high temps will be slightly warmer.  We’ll have a good weather night for Friday night football, too.  Temperatures will fall through the 60s over the course of our area games.

Friday's High Temps

Friday’s High Temps

9/19 Football Forecast (Football image credit: MGN (WPBN/WTOM))

9/19 Football Forecast (Football image credit: MGN (WPBN/WTOM))

 

 


A dipping and diving jet stream still causing cold across much of the U.S.

September 18th, 2014 at 11:32 am by under Weather

The extreme cold that enveloped much of North America this year is being caused by a diving jet stream. It’s not so unusual for troughs of low pressure to move across the U.S. or high pressure to push the jet stream north like what’s happening right now across the western U.S. causing record heat. What is unusual is that this situation has gone on for months on end. This is what has scientists collectively scratching their  heads. According to an article published by NOAA this climate pattern may have to do with a number of issues related to atmosphere.

“...researchers are investigating a few hypotheses—Pacific Ocean temperature anomalies, climate change, natural atmospheric dynamics—but there are no firm answers yet.  Given the exceptionally long stretch of time we are talking about with the 2014 event, Masters thinks it’s probably multiple influences acting over different time scales, some long-term and some, like Typhoon Neoguri in the Pacific in July, short-term.”


Warming trend into weekend

September 17th, 2014 at 10:45 pm by under Weather

It’s been a week of ups and downs around here.  It’s now been 7 days since our last high of 70° or above in Fort Wayne.

It's been a week since our last 70° day.

It’s been a week since our last 70° day.

Today’s high of 68° was the highest of the past 7 days (that also included two days with highs in the 50s), but still 8° below our average of 76°.

Our temp trend this past week.

Our temp trend this past week.

We look to end this streak without 70s on Thursday and we’ll keep warming into the weekend.

 


Cooling trend will continue

September 17th, 2014 at 9:17 am by under Weather

If you have been enjoying these late October type temperatures then you will really like the extended forecast. The latest 6 to 10 day outlook has temperatures staying below average through the 22nd of the month. What is interesting about this forecast graphic is that it also is building the heat across the pacific northwest and the northern Rockies. These two areas are really not known for their autumn heat waves. Many times when you experience one extreme in one part of the country you have another extreme in the opposite side of the country. This is specifically true here as we are seeing temperatures that are record setting and extremely warm across the western U.S. and very cool in much of the Midwest and Great Lakes.


A cool week and cool year so far…

September 16th, 2014 at 10:36 pm by under Weather

Our stretch keeps going!  During a time of year when average highs are in the mid-upper 70s, we haven’t been above 70° for six straight days.

The stretch of below 70° days continues.

The stretch of below 70° days continues.

The warmer air is slowly moving in and we will see an end to this below 70° streak in just a few days.

The local National Weather Service office released a quite interesting stat today that really hones in on what a cool year it’s been from the start.  Fort Wayne’s Jan. 1 – Sept. 15 average temperature ranks as the 4th coldest on record.  It will be quite interesting to see how we rank by year’s end.

Average temp. stat from NWS - IWX Forecast Office

Average temp. stat from NWS – IWX Forecast Office

 


A tropical weekend forecast

September 16th, 2014 at 8:56 am by under Weather
Tropical remnants of Odlie are headed across old Mexico and may move toward our area over the weekend

Tropical remnants of Odlile are headed across old Mexico and may move toward our area over the weekend

Some of our forecast solutions are not portraying what could be a wet Sunday forecast. The remnants of what was Tropical Storm Odile could get caught up in a Pacific weather system which will move across the country and may move toward our area by this weekend. This would mean a warm and a very wet forecast. High temperatures could be close to 80 both Saturday and Sunday with some heavy rainfall possible with this scenario Sunday.


Rain continues, ends late tonight

September 15th, 2014 at 6:57 pm by under Weather

A weather system continues its pass through our region tonight and it means scattered, light rain through about midnight tonight.  Accumulation amounts should continue to remain under 1/2 inch, as noted in Greg’s earlier post today.

The clouds and rain all day long prevented our temps from  rising much.  Highs ended up only near 60° after starting at 46° in Fort Wayne.  When you check out the 7-Day forecast for the week ahead, you’ll notice a gradual warm up is coming thanks to more sunshine and warmer air flowing in later this week.

Our below 70° stretch continues for a couple more days

Our below 70° stretch continues for a couple more days.  As of Monday, we’d had 5 straight days with highs <70°.


Monday rain update

September 15th, 2014 at 10:02 am by under Weather

Showers have already been moving through the area this morning and will continue into this afternoon and evening. We are not expecting to see any severe weather we are going to see widespread showers through early this evening. This weak weather system will also be enough to keep temperatures down into the upper 60s through Wednesday.


We know cold

September 14th, 2014 at 4:33 pm by under Weather

The summer months brought on more impressive shots of cool air than heat. In fact, we saw more than twice as many days with 40° readings for lows than 90° readings for highs. This cooler than average pattern is still hanging on in September even though we haven’t seen anything terribly impressive with cold air. Our coolest temp so far this month has been 45°. Strangely enough, we saw cooler readings than that during what is statistically our warmest time of the year, mid-August. We got down to a record low of 43° on the 15th of August. The next 7 days looks cooler than average overall.

Blog 1


Monday rain chances

September 14th, 2014 at 12:58 pm by under Weather

High pressure will keep us dry today and provide for a mix of clouds & sunshine, but rain chances will make a return as we start off the work week. Monday morning looks dry through lunch time, with clouds increasing all morning long. Then a low pressure system will begin to push it’s way through the Midwest, kicking off a few afternoon showers. A better chance for showers looks to be during the evening through midnight, with most of the activity tapering off after midnight.

As far as rain gauge totals, most forecast models suggest that between 0.1″ and 0.25″ of rain will be possible, with some isolated 0.5″ totals (Futurecast suggests the best chance for that would be south of Fort Wayne).

Scattered light rain showers will taper off after midnight. We should be dry by Tuesday morning.

Scattered light rain showers will taper off after midnight. We should be dry by Tuesday morning.

After this storm departs to off to the east, the rest of our week looks quiet and pleasant with decreasing clouds on Tuesday, plenty of sunshine on Wednesday and Thursday, and just a few more clouds on Friday. Temperatures will gradually warm into the upper 60s, and eventually, low 70s by Friday.